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Home Opinion

Kenya shilling stable amid economic recovery

Ivy Mutali by Ivy Mutali
May 2, 2025
in Opinion
Reading Time: 2 mins read

The Kenya shilling has maintained relative stability against major global currencies, buoyed by steady economic recovery, easing inflation and prudent monetary management by the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK). The Kenya shilling has remained stable since 2024, with the euro depreciating by 2.2% against the shilling in the six months leading to March 2025. As of March 2, 2025, the shilling traded at KES 146.5 per euro. Against the British pound, the shilling traded at KES 173.7 per GBP.

The performance of the local currency is underpinned by several factors. Inflation has eased significantly with the April 2025 rate standing at 4.1%, which is within the CBK’s preferred 2.5% – 7.5% target band. Kenya’s foreign exchange reserves remain solid, recorded at USD 9.8 billion as at April 17, 2025, equivalent to 4.4 months of import cover, a reassuring buffer against external shocks.

Investor sentiment has been further strengthened by Kenya’s improved current account position narrowing to 2.8% of GDP. Meanwhile, the country’s proactive monetary policy including the recent cut in the central bank rate (CBR) by 75.0 basis points to 10.0% has signaled a clear pivot towards supporting private sector growth and investment.

For investors, the stable exchange rates offer strategic advantages. A steady shilling reduces currency risk for foreign direct investors while offering opportunities for local investors to hedge against volatility by diversifying into euro or pound dominated assets. Sectors such as real estate, manufacturing and technology are well positioned to benefit from easier credit conditions and improved import costs.

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However, caution remains prudent. Global uncertainties, including potential interest rates moves by major central banks could introduce fresh pressures. Investors are therefore advised to monitor both domestic monetary policy signals and global financial market trends.

In conclusion, Kenya has improved macroeconomic stability, prudent fiscal management and sustained currency stability create a favorable environment for both local and foreign investors. Those with a long-term perspective and a diversified portfolio strategy are best placed to tap into the emerging opportunities across multiple sectors while managing currency exposure prudently.

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