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Home Analysis

The impact of Kenya’s bold infrastructure initiatives on its economy

Faith Ndunda by Faith Ndunda
December 30, 2024
in Analysis, Counties, Investments
Reading Time: 2 mins read

Kenya’s bold infrastructure mega-projects have greatly impacted its economic landscape, delivering both positive results and notable challenges.

The development of large-scale infrastructure projects has been instrumental in stimulating economic growth in Kenya. For instance, KES 193.4 bn was allocated for the construction roads while KES 92.1 bn was allocated to the affordable housing program in the FY 2023/2024 budget.

One example is the Lake Turkana Wind Power Station, which, at the time of its completion, was the largest single private investment in Kenya. This project has contributed to reducing the country’s reliance on diesel and heavy fuel power stations, saving more than KES 37.8 bn. In 2023, this project contributed to 11.0% of the country’s total electricity generation.

Additionally, the Lamu Port and Lamu-Southern Sudan-Ethiopia Transport Corridor (LAPSSET) program is poised to enhance regional trade and integration. Economic analyses have demonstrated high Economic Internal Rates of Return (EIRR) for its components, suggesting significant economic viability.

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Although these benefits are significant, the execution of mega-projects has faced several challenges. Issues regarding debt sustainability have surfaced, especially with projects funded by external borrowing. For instance, the Standard Gauge Railway (SGR), which aims to connect Mombasa to Uganda, has been criticized for its financial viability and termed a “train to nowhere” due to its abrupt termination and the financial strain it causes.

Furthermore, corruption and mismanagement have hindered the effectiveness of infrastructure-driven growth. According to the African Development Bank, corruption costs Africa up to USD 148.0billion each year, impacting large-scale infrastructure projects and reducing their potential benefits.

In recent years, there has been a shift towards involving private sector investment in infrastructure development. Notably, in May 2024, Kenya’s highways authority and U.S. investment manager Everstrong Capital signed a USD 3.6 billion deal with the Kenya National Highways Authority (KENHA) to construct a 440 km highway from Nairobi to Mombasa. This project aims to alleviate congestion on this vital route and enhance connectivity between the capital and the port city.

Kenya’s major infrastructure projects have spurred considerable economic growth and development. However, to fully realize their benefits, it is essential to tackle issues related to debt sustainability, corruption, and project management. Adopting transparent practices and implementing careful financial planning are vital to unlocking the full potential of these investments for Kenya’s economic future.

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