Kenya Meteorological Department (Kenya Met) attributes the prevailing dry weather conditions to a decrease in moisture influx into the country. The department explains that this reduction stems from delays in the movement of rain-bearing pressure systems, as stated in a press release dated Tuesday, March 13.
Despite the customary heavy rainfall during February and March, Kenyans have been experiencing prolonged dry weather conditions. Kenya Met forecasts these conditions to persist until the final week of March.
Director David Gikungu, speaking during the launch of rain mitigation measures in Nairobi on November 10, 2023, highlights the impact of Tropical Cyclone “#FILIPO” in the Mozambican Channel on the northward movement of the rain-bearing Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), further reducing moisture influx into Kenya.
The statement anticipates the dry spell to extend into the early stages of the fourth week of March, possibly affecting the western half of the country. However, it notes that heavy rains are expected in the northern half starting in April.
The possibility of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) in the South Western Indian Ocean during the season may affect seasonal rainfall patterns, although TCs’ long-term predictability remains uncertain.
In terms of current weather forecasts, some regions, particularly the highlands in the central area, may experience moderate rainfall.
Conversely, temperatures are expected to soar to a maximum of 30 degrees Celsius in various counties, including Turkana, Samburu, and others, urging residents to stay hydrated. Conversely, certain areas such as Nyandarua, Laikipia, and others may experience nighttime temperatures dropping below 10°C.
Kenya Met pledges to continue monitoring the situation and issue updates as necessary, underscoring the dynamic nature of weather patterns.